Leicester’s third-tier crisis: Martin’s job on the brink

Leicester City’s slide into League One has exposed a club in freefall, where the weight of history and the absence of answers are colliding with alarming speed. A draw at Notts County and a 2-1 home defeat to Burton Albion have left the Foxes with just one league win in 11 matches—a statistic that has reignited questions over Russell Martin’s future. The former Southampton manager arrived with a reputation forged in adversity, but so far, his tenure has done little to arrest the decline. With the club up for sale and the King Power dynasty’s 16-year reign in doubt, Leicester are no longer just fighting on the pitch—they are fighting for their identity.

From champions to crisis: the scale of Leicester’s collapse

Sixteen days after hosting a nostalgic 10-year anniversary match for their 2015-16 Premier League title, Leicester find themselves in a division they have not inhabited since 2009. The contrast could not be sharper: a club once celebrated as English football’s ultimate underdog now stares down the barrel of a third successive relegation, with odds of 33-1 on dropping into League Two. The Foxes’ accounts reveal staggering losses—nearly £100m in both 2021-22 and 2022-23—followed by a six-point deduction for profit and sustainability (P&S) breaches, a punishment that has only deepened their predicament. The euphoria of 2016 feels like a distant mirage, and the anniversary celebrations planned for later this year will now serve as a bitter reminder of what once was.

Martin’s appointment in the summer was meant to steady the ship. But his managerial record since guiding Southampton to the Premier League via the play-offs has been underwhelming: just two league wins in charge of the Saints and Rangers, a tenure that lasted just 123 days at the latter. His task now is to reverse a slide that has seen Leicester lose their footing in the third tier, a division they entered as promotion favourites. The opening-day draw at Notts County and the home defeat to Burton—where they conceded twice in the first half—have already eroded any early-season goodwill. The pressure is mounting, and the margin for error has vanished.

The board’s dilemma: patience or panic?

Behind the scenes, the uncertainty off the pitch is as corrosive as the results on it. Thai owners King Power have been seeking a buyer for over a year, with an eight-page sales booklet circulated to potential investors. Yet no official announcement has been made, leaving supporters and staff in a state of suspended animation. The club’s financial haemorrhaging—£100m losses in consecutive seasons—has already triggered a points deduction, a sanction that could yet be compounded if further breaches are uncovered. The sale process drags on, but the longer it takes, the harder it becomes to attract serious suitors.

For the board, Martin represents both a gamble and a potential scapegoat. His appointment was a statement of intent, a manager with top-flight experience and a reputation for organisation. But so far, his Leicester project has lacked cohesion. The Foxes’ defensive frailties have been exposed repeatedly, with their inability to retain leads—evident in the defeat to Burton—highlighting systemic issues. The club’s recent history suggests that when results fail to materialise, the response is swift. Martin’s predecessors were dispensed with quickly when the club’s ambitions were frustrated; now, with the stakes even higher, the board faces an unenviable choice between doubling down or cutting their losses.

The parallels with other fallen giants are hard to ignore. Tottenham’s Relegation Crisis: How One of England’s Elite Clubs Became a Cautionary Tale serves as a stark reminder of how quickly a club’s fortunes can unravel when the foundations crumble. Leicester’s fall may not yet match that scale, but the trajectory is undeniable. The difference this time is that there is no safety net. A third relegation would be catastrophic, not just for the club’s prestige but for its financial viability. The board’s patience is finite, and the clock is ticking.

Martin’s tactical crossroads: can he steady the ship?

Martin’s approach at Southampton was built on structure and pressing, but adapting to League One’s physicality and unpredictability has exposed limitations. The Foxes’ defensive record is alarming, with their backline struggling to cope with direct play and set-pieces, as evidenced by the two goals conceded in the first 30 minutes against Burton. Their inability to hold leads—evident in the defeat to Burton—has raised doubts about their mental resilience. The squad, stripped of Premier League experience, now relies on a mix of young talent and journeymen, a combination that demands meticulous management.

Yet there are glimmers. The draw at Notts County showed resilience, with Leicester weathering early pressure before securing a share of the points. The club’s academy, once the backbone of their title-winning side, remains a potential lifeline, with academy graduates like Kasey McAneff and Harry Wright offering a blend of local identity and technical quality. Martin’s challenge is to restore belief in a group of players who are clearly under pressure. His next few matches will be pivotal, not just for his own future but for the club’s trajectory. If Leicester are to avoid a slide into the bottom half of League One, they need more than just organisation—they need a spark.

The Foxes’ next fixture, live on Sky against Notts County, offers an early opportunity to regain momentum. But the bigger question looms larger: can Martin, under these conditions, rediscover the form that once saw him mastermind Southampton’s play-off triumph? The answer may determine whether Leicester’s crisis is a temporary stumble or the beginning of an irreversible descent.

One thing is certain: the patience of the board and the faith of the fans are wearing thin. Leicester are running out of time to prove they can climb out of this abyss.